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Last updated: 09/15/2011 11:16 AM
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Football
The Worldwide Leaderboard – Week Two
by Tony Gerdeman

You know it's a remarkably easy week when only one of the experts you track fails to be over .500 in their picks. That dubiousness, by the way, went to Mark May, who finished 3-3.

Before we get started, I wanted to get some housekeeping out of the way and thank everybody for their feedback and ideas. Feel free to continue sending in whatever strikes you, or any picks that you come across.

Addressing some of the feedback that I received, I have added a few more control groups, The Sporting News' Matt Hayes and the Big Ten Network's four main analysts (Gerry DiNardo, Howard Griffith, Chris Martin and Teddy Greenstein). I am now tracking 16 pickers, with a few more that I'm keeping an eye on but have not included here.

Last week I mentioned that it would be nice if Matt Hayes' picks were written out instead of being done in video format, and lo and behold, this week they are typed out nicely for me to find on the internet. Because he clearly made this change at my request, I went back and included his video picks from week one.

Regarding the BTN guys, they make national picks on their Big Ten Football and Beyond show during the week, but I missed the first week. I've tried to locate their picks on the BTN website, but I can't find anything. If anybody would have those picks for any reason, I would gladly include them here as well.

To address one of the suggestions regarding weighting the picks, I've chosen to keep this as simple as possible. Picking winners should be a fairly easy thing for college football experts to, and right now I'm more interested in seeing if they can do the simple things—because I have my doubts.

For the second week in a row, there were eleven games picked by ESPN entities, and all but two of those games had a general consensus. This was a week to pad stats, and most did. Also, the same issues I had last week with Dennis Dodd remain this week. Since he picks against the spread, I can only include him when he picks the favorites. As such, I will likely drop him from this project after this week.

Lastly, I will probably start putting the records in order from best to worst next week after we have three good weeks of data to mine.

Easiest Pick
Of the eleven games picked, five were unanimous. I'm not surprised that nobody picked Penn State, but I am pretty surprised that nobody gave Georgia a chance at home against South Carolina.

Toughest Pick
Of the twelve experts who picked the Notre Dame – Michigan game, six chose the Wolverines and six chose the Irish. By my count, ESPN was 1-3 in this pick. The control was 5-3, including the BTN who went 3-1.

Best Pick
That would go to Lou Holtz and Chris Martin for picking Auburn over Mississippi State. They were the only two who did so out of fourteen. As a viewer of the BTN, Martin tends to side with the underdog in order to look smart. It rarely works out for him, or at least that's what I've seen with my eyes, but this season we'll find out if my sight is 20/20. As a non-aside aside, he did finish 6-0 this week, so I guess I can't say too much right now.

Worst Pick
The folks that picked Cincinnati over Tennessee, and there were quite a few of them. Of the seven folks who picked the game, only three took the Vols, who ended up winning 45-23 over the Bearcats.

Best Week
That honor would go to Chris Martin. He went 6-0 and managed to pick the two toughest games correctly—Mississippi State vs. Auburn and Notre Dame vs. Michigan. Not knowing how he did last week—which really grinds my gears—he will sit at 6-0 for the season.

Worst Week
Last week that dishonor went to Kirk Herbstreit, who finished 1-6. This week it goes to Mark May, who as I mentioned above, was the only picker to not do better than .500. Shameful, really. Anyway, ESPN is now 2-0 in having an employee win worst week.

Quotable
“It's a no-brainer, it's Notre Dame! I think Notre Dame is outstanding in so many respects.” – Lou Holtz

“They (Michigan) don't want a shootout. In a shootout, Notre Dame wins.” – Lee Corso

“They're (Notre Dame) not going to turn the football over. They're gonna be more conservative.” – David Pollack

“Mississippi State big.” – Kirk Herbstreit

“Unfortunately for our beloved—and 100% clean as a whistle—Auburn Tigers, the Bulldogs' running game is going to gut them like a Friday night hog.” – Tony Gerdeman

My quote above is especially irksome because it's 100% correct—Mississippi State rushed for 333 yards—but they still somehow lost. Also, yes, I just quoted myself. As I've said before, “I love to quote myself.” And now I have even quoted myself about quoting myself. I hope I don't get pulled into some kind of singularity for that.

Notable
Tremendous props to Desmond Howard for telling people to watch out for South Carolina defensive lineman Melvin Ingram. All Ingram did was go 69 yards on a fake punt for a touchdown, pick up a fumble and return that for a touchdown, and then secure the ball on an onside kick to seal the game.

Gerry DiNardo said that for Michigan to beat Notre Dame, the Wolverine running backs would have to have twice as many carries as Denard Robinson. I would've quoted him, but I would have had to rewind it, and I didn't want to put myself through hearing such lunacy again.

Week Two

Alabama at Penn State

Cincinnati at Tennessee

BYU at Texas

Miss. State at Auburn

Utah at USC

Arizona at Oklahoma State

Missouri at Arizona St.

Notre Dame at Michigan

South Carolina at Georgia

TCU at Air Force

UNC at Rutgers

David Pollack

Alabama 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

TCU 

UNC 

Lou Holtz

Alabama 

Auburn

USC

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

Mark May

Alabama 

Miss. State

Utah

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

Desmond Howard

Alabama 

Tennessee

Texas

Miss. State

USC

S. Carolina

Air Force

Lee Corso

Alabama 

Tennessee

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Michigan

S. Carolina

TCU 

Kirk Herbstreit

Alabama 

Cincinnati 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

S. Carolina

Air Force

Pat Forde

Alabama 

Cincinnati 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Okla. State

Arizona St.

S. Carolina

Bruce Feldman

Alabama 

Miss. State

USC

Okla. State

Arizona St.

Michigan

S. Carolina

TCU 

Dennis Dodd

Okla. State

Arizona St.

S. Carolina

TCU 

Stewart Mandel

Alabama 

Cincinnati 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

TCU 

Matt Hayes

Alabama 

Cincinnati 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Okla. State

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

Tony Gerdeman

Alabama 

Tennessee

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Okla. State

Arizona St.

Michigan

S. Carolina

Gerry DiNardo

Alabama 

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Arizona St.

Michigan

S. Carolina

Howard Griffith

Alabama 

Michigan

Teddy Greenstein

Texas

Miss. State

USC

Arizona St.

ND

S. Carolina

Chris Martin

Texas

Auburn

USC

Arizona St.

Michigan

S. Carolina

 

 

Cumulative Results

 

Record for the Week

Record for the Year

David Pollack

7-2

9-6 (60%)

Lou Holtz

5-1

8-2 (80%)

Mark May

3-3

4-6 (40%)

Desmond Howard

5-2

6-3 (67%)

Lee Corso

7-1

10-6 (63%)

Kirk Herbstreit

4-3

5-9 (36%)

Pat Forde

6-2

7-6 (54%)

Bruce Feldman

7-1

8-2 (80%)

Dennis Dodd

4-0

5-1 (83%)

Stewart Mandel

6-3

9-8 (53%)

Matt Hayes

6-3

10-4 (71%)

Tony Gerdeman

8-1

12-3 (80%)

Gerry DiNardo

6-1

7-1 (88%)

Howard Griffith

2-0

3-0 (100%)

Teddy Greenstein

4-2

4-2 (67%)

Chris Martin

6-0

6-0 (100%)

Week One Results

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