Worldwide Leaderboard

Please patronize our advertisers to help
keep theOzone.net free for everyone.





The-Ozone.net Mall

Interesting, Fun companies with interesting, quality products - and the-Ozone gets a piece of the action!

Click here to return to the front page.
Established October 31, 1996
Front Page Columns and Features
Last updated: 09/09/2011 11:00 AM
Twitter
Follow Tony
on Twitter
Email
Email Tony
Share |

Football
Worldwide Leaderboard
By Tony Gerdeman

Have you ever wanted to know something specific, but the information that you are looking for just isn't out there? And since the information that you are interested in isn't available, you have to go out and do the research yourself?

That's where I find myself now. Off and on over the years, I've wondered just how accurate the people that ESPN pays to be accurate actually are. More specifically, I've wondered how accurate ESPN's college football "experts" are.

So this year I'm going to find out by tracking their college football picks. This is an undertaking with a grand scope given the many platforms of ESPN, so I will gladly accept help via email or Twitter if you are so inclined.

The ESPN experts I have included are: Kirk Herbstreit, Desmond Howard, Lee Corso, Lou Holtz, Mark May, David Pollack and Pat Forde. They are, in my opinion, the faces of ESPN's college football coverage, or at least the faces that make enough picks to actually tally.

I have also included a control group: Bruce Feldman, Dennis Dodd, Stewart Mandel, and myself.

The picks from the ESPN television experts came from College GameDay and various College Football Lives and halftimes. The picks from Pat Forde came from this chat.

Stewart Mandel's picks were easy enough to find, as were the picks from CBS' Feldman and Dodd, though the CBS picks were much harder to discern given that they were picking from the spread. That meant that I could only give credit to the picks that went with the favorites.

My picks can be found each week in Tony's Tip Sheet, which hits the stands every Wednesday evening.

I would have included another control expert or three, but if you make your picks on video (Matt Hayes at TSN), I can't promise I'm gonna watch after spending the better part of an entire morning fast-forwarding through hours of recorded ESPN programming. No offense.

The way I determined which games to track was by simply letting ESPN tell me. If one of their experts picked a game, I put it on the list, meaning that the control group was only given credit for the games that the ESPN experts picked. That way we're all working on the same footing as ESPN.

Given that I only have two eyes, one DVR and only so much brain matter, I'm going to miss some picks here and there, which is why I have no problem with accepting help from anybody who has it to offer. If you hear one of the experts on your local radio show, or there's some random ESPNU show where Pat Forde is making picks, let me know how it went, if you are so inclined. The more data we have, the better chance we'll have of figuring out whether or not ESPN is the worldwide leader in college football prognostication.

I apologize for the long preamble, but I had to get it out of the way in order to explain how everything works.

This is still a work in progress and things may changeas we figure out exactly how things work best.

For now, you can go ahead and take a look at the breakdown and see how things went.


Week One

UCLA at Houston

BYU at Ole Miss

USF at   ND

Minn. at USC

Boise State vs Georgia

Oregon vs LSU

Indiana vs Ball State

Miami at Md.

N'western at BC

TCU at Baylor

BGSU at Idaho

David Pollack

UCLA

Ole Miss

ND

USC

Georgia

LSU

 

 

 

 

 

Lou     Holtz

 

 

USF

 

Georgia

LSU

 

 

 

Baylor

 

Mark    May

 

 

ND

 

Georgia

Oregon

 

 

 

Baylor

 

Desmond Howard

 

 

ND

 

 

LSU

 

 

 

 

 

Lee     Corso

UCLA

BYU

ND

 

Georgia

LSU

Indiana

Maryland

BC

 

 

Kirk Herbstreit

UCLA

Ole Miss

ND

 

Boise State

 

Indiana

Miami

BC

 

 

Pat      Forde

 

Ole Miss

 

Minnesota

Boise State

Oregon

 

 

 

 

Idaho

Bruce Feldman

 

 

ND

USC

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Dennis Dodd

 

 

 

USC

 

 

 

 

 

TCU

 

Stewart Mandel

 

BYU

ND

USC

Georgia

Oregon

 

Maryland

BC

Baylor

 

Tony Gerdeman

 

 

ND

USC

Boise State

LSU

 

Maryland

 

TCU

 

Cummulative Results

 

Record for the Week

Record for the Year

David Pollack

2-4

2-4 (33%)

Lou Holtz

3-1

3-1 (75%)

Mark May

1-3

1-3 (25%)

Desmond Howard

1-1

1-1 (50%)

Lee Corso

3-5

3-5 (38%)

Kirk Herbstreit

1-6

1-6 (14%)

Pat Forde

1-4

1-4 (20%)

Bruce Feldman

1-1

1-1 (50%)

Dennis Dodd

1-1

1-1 (50%)

Stewart Mandel

4-4

4-4 (50%)

Tony Gerdeman

4-2

4-2 (67%)

Notes

1. I can't believe how few games are actually picked. Going into this project I thought I would have to limit the number of games to around 10 or so. As it stands now, it's looking like I'll have to work to find 10 every week. Though maybe that will change when things get into conference play and there are more games worthy of dissecting.

2. It was a bad week for Kirk Herbstreit. The only pick he got right on Gameday was Boise State over Georgia. He was actually only one of two ESPN experts who picked this game correctly. If I missed Desmond Howard's pick of this game, then I apologize. I can't promise I'll be able to watch much of him without fast-forwarding. As an aside, I wonder how he feels about being booted off of the Gameday set every week in favor of a guest picker during the actual picks. I can't imagine that he likes it.

3. Mark May somehow picked Baylor over TCU. I'm still not sure how he did it. Unfortunately for him it was his only correct pick that I saw all weekend.

4. The most difficult game to pick was clearly the South Florida at Notre Dame game. Ironically, the only person to pick it correctly was famed Irish homer Lou Holtz, and the only reason he picked USF was obviously because of his son. There really was no analysis involved. Though I'm not sure that's really a prerequisite.

5. The ESPN experts finished 12-24 (33%) on the week. The control group finished 10-8 (56%)

6. I included myself only because if this piece ends up pointing out the errors of others, I have to do it while showing my cards as well.

Lastly, I have no problem going back in history and adding picks or correcting them, or even adding more control members. I'm just trying to make this thing accurate.

Donate by Check :

Ozone Communications
1380 King Avenue
Columbus, Ohio
43212

Help us bring you more Buckeye coverage. Donate to the-Ozone.

Click here to email this the-Ozone feature to a friend...or even a foe.

(c) 2010 The O-Zone, O-Zone Communications, Inc. All rights reserved.
This material may not be published, rebroadcast,rewritten, or redistributed.

Click here to return to the front page.
Front Page Columns and Features