Oddsmakers Project BCS

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Last updated: 11/05/2013 2:54 AM
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Football
Oddmakers Make BCS Projections
By Rob Ogden

With four undefeated teams in the BCS top 5, next year's four-team playoff might arrive a year too late.

At No. 4 for the third-consecutive week, Ohio State is going to need some help to get into the national championship game picture.

Although the Buckeyes are currently still on the outside looking in, Las Vegas oddsmakers have given Ohio State improved odds after a 56-0 blowout win over Purdue.

The LVH Sports Book moved the Buckeyes' championship odds from 8-1 a week ago to 7-1 currently.

Though the new odds are a slight improvement, the sports book still gives better odds to four other teams.

No. 1 Alabama's odds remained unchanged from a week ago at 3-2. Despite dropping to No. 3 in the BCS this week, Vegas still gives Oregon the second best odds at 8-5.

No. 2 Florida State, fresh off another dominating win over a top 5 team is listed at 2-1.

Baylor is No. 6 in the BCS, but has the fourth best odds at 6-1. The Bears have yet to beat a team ranked in the top 25, but the meat of their schedule lies ahead.

They'll have the chance to make their case Thursday when they host No. 10 Oklahoma. Baylor also must face off against No. 14 Oklahoma State and No. 25 Texas Tech before it can start dreaming about a championship game appearance.

The Bears aren't widely thought of to a be a threat to the Buckeyes' championship game hopes, but one source says Baylor would be favored over Ohio State on a neutral field.

Paul Bessire, of PredictionMachine.com, said last week that Alabama, Florida State, Oregon, Baylor and Texas A&M would all be favored over the Buckeyes by six points or more should they meet in a bowl game.

Oregon, the site says, would be favored over every team on a neutral field.

The site generated its results by simulating every team against the 124 other FBS team 50,000 times.

The outcome gave the Buckeyes a 44.7 percent chance of finishing the season undefeated and a 22.4 percent chance of playing in the BCS title game as an undefeated team.

Among FBS teams, only Alabama (49.2 percent) was given a better chance at finishing undefeated.

The Crimson Tide's biggest chance to stumble might come this week when they take on No. 13 LSU. Alabama will also face No. 9 Auburn to close out the regular season.

This is also a big week for the Ducks, who must travel to No. 5 Stanford on Thursday.

The Cardinal ended Oregon's championship hopes in 2012 with an overtime win in Eugene.

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