COLUMBUS, Ohio — I've had more than one person mention to me that I didn't do so hot with my Spring Game predictions piece on Friday, so I thought it would be good if we went back and looked at what I got right, what I got wrong, and whose fault the latter is.
Looking Back at My Spring Game Predictions and Assigning Blame in Waves
By Tony Gerdeman
Before we get started, however, I think it's important to note that this was just a Spring Game, and predictions don't carry as much weight with them as a regular season prediction. They don't even count in the standings, for crying out loud.
The amount of grief I have taken for a few bad predictions is unwarranted, especially when you consider the wrong predictions weren't even my fault.
Let's take a look.
1. Either Ezekiel Elliott or Curtis Samuel will score on a swing pass.
Okay, this one never happened, as the only touchdowns were scored by Rashad Frazier, Bri'onte Dunn and Warren Ball. But is it my fault that Ezekiel Elliott hardly played, or Curtis Samuel got tackled inside the 10-yard line? No, it isn't. It's Samuel's fault. On the swing pass that had a chance to score, Samuel made the first man miss, but couldn't make a second man miss? Really? Then why is he even on scholarship? I'm going to go ahead and chalk this one up as being correct, because nobody could have predicted the Buckeyes would be able to tackle in open space.
2. Either Johnnie Dixon or Michael Thomas will have a long touchdown reception.
When I made this prediction, it was my understanding that the wind wasn't going to be reminiscent of the Oklahoma dust bowl. Nobody could have completed passes in those conditions, not even Nathan Scheelhaase. Had the weather been as promised, then this prediction would have certainly happened. If anybody is to be blamed for a bad prediction, let's go ahead and blame the weathermen, because none of them ever said anything about the Patagonian gusts that we saw on Saturday. What good is your Dual Doppler when you don't even use the first one right?
3. Joey Bosa will have at least three sacks.
Come on, you saw what Rashad Frazier did in this game, so you know what Joey Bosa would have done had he played. And why didn't he play? That's the better question. Do you ever get the feeling the head coach at a major college football program is out to make you look foolish by keeping your predictions from happening? Because I do sometimes.
4. Tyvis Powell will have at least one interception.
This is another instance of the OSU conspiracy to keep me from going 10 for 10 on my predictions, as Tyvis Powell should have played way more than he did. I just wonder how he feels being a pawn in this game between Urban Meyer and myself.
5. There will be a run of at least 40 yards by a running back.
The longest run by a running back in this game was 20 yards by Warren Ball, but if you look at the distance he actually ran while gaining those yards, you'll see that he ran about 40.3 yards, which makes this prediction correct. Nice try, Urban.
6. The cornerbacks will have at least three interceptions.
Let's see, had the quarterbacks been a little more accurate, then I would have had this one in the bag. My accuracy shouldn't be on trial here, theirs should.
7. J.T. Barrett will be running for his life, and at least once it will lead to a big gain downfield.
While you might have read this and initially thought it meant that he would scramble and it would lead to a big pass, and sure that initial thought may have been planted by me for saying, "I expect a receiver or two to get behind the Scarlet secondary, and Barrett's accuracy on the move has been pretty good this spring." But it also could have meant that he would take off running on his own for a big gain, and since that is exactly what happened, I choose to apply this meaning.
8. Regardless of how well he plays, Buckeye fans will leave the Spring Game excited about Raekwon McMillan.
Do I even need to address this one? Why are you wearing that #5 jersey right now? And don't tell me it's because of Braxton Freaking Miller.
9. The defensive line will be very, very disruptive.
I nailed this one almost as solidly as the Ohio State defensive line nailed the Buckeye quarterbacks and running backs. Not even Urban Meyer could keep me from being right about this one, though I have no doubt that he tried.
10. The attendance will be disappointing, causing Urban Meyer to make sure ticket prices for next year's Spring Game are lowered.
Leave it to me to get something about the Spring Game correct before the game itself is even played, which might technically make this prediction incorrect (but it doesn't). Also, leave it to me to overrule a clearly correct prediction by adding this caveat at the end, "Actually, after thinking about it, tickets won't be lowered. Instead, the game simply won't be shown live, forcing more people to attend, because that's how things actually work in the real world." Obviously, we will ignore this last part and chalk up another correct prediction for me.
So, after tabulating everything, I think I ended up 10 for 10, which doesn't shock me even a little. I have watched this team closely this spring, and there really were no surprises for me in the Spring Game.
There's always next time, though, especially if Urban Meyer has his say.
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