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Two Steps Forward, One Step Back — By the Numbers: Nebraska at Ohio State

[Editor’s note: NEWBrutus is a long-time poster on our forum who has contributed statistical breakdowns for us in the past. Up today is a look back at what went right, wrong, and indifferent against Nebraska.]


Ohio State came into the Nebraska game looking to improve certain areas on both sides of the ball, and while they did show some improvement in some areas, they actually struggled and regressed in others.

Looking at the Drives

 Drives Avg Start TDs  FGA  FGM Off. Pts  Pts/Dr  Dr Eff. Sc. Chance  SC Eff.  Pts/SC
Ohio St. 14 68.2 5 0 0 34 2.43 .347 6 .500 3.50
Nebraska 14 75.1 4 1 1 31 2.21 .316 6 .738 5.17

The Buckeyes held an advantage in starting field position, points per drive, and drive efficiency. Each team had six scoring chances. A scoring chance is defined as a possession with a first down inside your opponent’s 40-yard line.

In what has been a recurring nightmare for the Buckeyes, there was an inability to convert their scoring chances into points. Of the six, two ended with a turnover, and one ended with a turnover on downs. This was a significant component to the outcome of this game. Converting those opportunities into points potentially makes this a blowout. However these failures allowed an overmatched team to stay much closer than they should have.

It should be noted, Nebraska had one scoring chance end in a turnover as well, which in the end turned out to be a significant factor.

(Note: The safety, along with other special teams or defensive scores are not included in drive stats.)

Failing to convert scoring chances into points is disappointing, but allowing the Cornhuskers six scoring chances is equally concerning.

Looking at the Offensive Stats

 Plays  Yards  YPP  Succ Rate XPL XPL Yds  XPL Yds Pct
Ohio St. 72 481 6.68 .528 9 259 .538
   PASS 33 242 7.33 .515 5 137 .566
   RUN 39 239 6.13 .538 4 122 .510
Nebraska 82 450 5.49 .549 6 163 .362
   PASS 34 259 7.62 .529 5 139 .537
   RUN 48 191 3.98 .563 1 24 .126

Sacks are included in the passing stats. A successful play is a gain of 50% of the needed yards on first down, 70% of the needed yards on second down, and all of the needed yards on 3rd and 4th downs.

The Good…

The Not So Good…

The Bad…

Looking at the Running Backs

Ohio State entered the season with two potential All Big Ten type tailbacks. However, they are not living up to most fan expectations so far in 2018. Let’s take a deeper look into the season for of J.K. Dobbins and Mike Weber.

J.K. Dobbins
Att. Pct of Att. Yards Pct of Yards
Negative 8 .055 -11 -.016
No Gain 10 .068 0 .000
1 to 5 Yards 84 .575 264 .385
6 to 10 yards 33 .226 248 .362
11 to 15 Yards 6 .041 70 .102
16+ yards 5 .034 114 .166
146 685 4.69
Mike Weber
Negative 10 .093 -25 -.041
No Gain 8 .075 0 .000
1 to 5 Yards 51 .477 144 .238
6 to 10 yards 19 .178 149 .246
11 to 15 Yards 11 .103 129 .213
16+ yards 8 .075 209 .345
107 606 5.66

Despite some issues with ball security, Mike Weber is quietly having a decent season averaging 5.66 yards per carry. He has had fewer attempts than Dobbins, and a larger percentage of his attempts have gained 6 or more yards than Dobbins as well.

When looking back to last season, Dobbins had just under 10% of his carries go for zero or negative yards. Twelve percent of those carries have had similar results this season. In 2017, Dobbins had 47% of his carries gain between 1 and 5 yards, and 23% gain between 6 and 10. Twenty percent of his carries gained more than 11 yards last season.

Last season, Weber had 12% of his carries go for zero yards or lose yardage, 55% of Mike’s carries gained between 1 and 4 yards, and 21% resulted in gains between 6 and 10 yards. Elevent percent of his attempts gained 11 or more yards.

Neither back is having the same success as they did a year ago.

Who is Getting The Ball

The diversity of the Ohio State attack continued against Nebraska.

Player Chances Pct of Chances  Yards  Pct of Yds  YPP
H 15 20.83% 78 16.22% 5.20
  KJ Hill 7 9.72% 39 8.11% 5.57
  P. Campbell 6 8.33% 27 5.61% 4.50
  D. McCall 2 2.78% 12 2.49% 6.00
QB 3 4.17% -11 -2.29% -3.67
  D. Haskins 3 4.17% -11 -2.29% -3.67
RB 34 47.22% 285 59.25% 8.38
  JK Dobbins 24 33.33% 185 38.46% 7.71
  M. Weber 10 13.89% 100 20.79% 10.00
TE 3 4.17% 33 6.86% 11.00
  L. Farrell 3 4.17% 33 6.86% 11.00
WR 14 19.44% 106 22.04% 7.57
  J. Dixon 8 11.11% 96 19.96% 12.00
  B. Victor 2 2.78% 10 2.08% 5.00
  T. McLaurin 3 4.17% 0 0.00% 0.00
  C. Olave 1 1.39% 0 0.00% 0.00
TEAM 3 4.17% -10 -2.08% -3.33
Grand Total 72 100.00% 481 100.00% 6.68

 

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