Buckeyes 3.5-Point Favorites at Penn State

The No. 4-ranked Buckeyes (4-0, 1-0) have been installed as the favorite for their trip this Saturday to face No. 9 Penn State (4-0, 1-0) in State College. Currently, Ohio State is a 3.5-point favorite over the Nittany Lions.

The home team is 4-1 against the spread in the last five meetings.

That is not the only trend that should be concerning to Buckeye fans. Ohio State is just 1-4 against the spread in their last five games when they’ve scored more than 40 points in their previous game. They are also 1-4 against the spread following games that they’ve won by more than 20 points.

Penn State, meanwhile, is 6-0 against the spread at home when facing teams with a winning road record.

They are 11-3-2 against the spread in their last 16 home games.

The Buckeyes have been favored over the Nittany Lions the last five seasons and have covered just twice.

This will be the first time Penn State is a home underdog since the last time Ohio State came to town in 2016. The No. 2 Buckeyes were 19-point favorites and lost to the Nittany Lions 24-21.

In 2014, the No. 13 Buckeyes were 14-point favorites, but it took two overtimes for the eventual National Champs to get out of Happy Valley alive.

In 2012, it was a pick’em game, with Ohio State coming out on top with a 35-23 victory.

This Saturday’s game could very well be the Big Ten East Championship Game, and whoever wins it will have the upper hand in the division for the foreseeable future.

10 Responses

  1. Jeez, get back on your meds. “September is for pretenders; November is for contenders.”

  2. I’m waiting to learn that someone grew a brain on the Buckeye defensive staff and they made a change at linebacker before even considering a point spread. If no changes happen…the Buckeyes will lose because Trace McSorley is far and away the best offensive player the Buckeyes will be facing before the playoffs. If changes aren’t made to the lineup McSorley will escape often enough into the second level to have lunch, pay the tab, AND pick up 20 yards before a linebacker even realizes where the ball is. THIS game is the defacto Big 10 Championship game. It takes a great defense to win a championship.

    1. I’d agree LB play needs to be lot better. But have you watched psu defense? Haskins should have a big game with a lot of points cause psu defense hasn’t looked good.

      1. I’m not concerned about the PSU linebackers. I think the Buckeye offense has the potential to completely wreck them. I’m concerned about the Buckeye linebackers because PSU’s offense has the potential to wreck them as well.

        These are the top 2 teams in the country putting points on the board, and they’re also the #3 and #8 most efficient offenses. Both teams have horrible defenses. Statistically the Buckeyes are a little better on defense, but that’s not saying much.

        It’s at night in Crappy Valley and I’m sure the point spread has that factored in. 3.5 points in just 1 mistake away from disaster for Ohio State, especially with the penalties that have shown no sign of letting up against the Bucks. PSU has the athletes who can use that discipline issue against the Buckeyes as momentum shifts.

        Clean up the penalties and the Buckeyes will win the game, or the Buckeye linebackers can actually show up and neutralize the mistakes and escape with a win. Clean up the penalties AND the linebackers play just average the Buckeyes have the rest of the tools to blow PSU off their own field.

        I’m avoiding betting on this game, and it has everything to do with the awful linebacker play of the Buckeyes. That could change when the starting lineup in announced.

      1. LOL……….SURELY you jest Tom.

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